Monday, August 31, 2009

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swine flu continues to be in Germany

The swine flu, which caused particularly in Spain and Great Britain for the high infection levels of attention and already asked for several hundred deaths attacks continue around and make now before state leaders do not hold.

Thus, the Colombian President Alvaro Uribe became ill after a South American summit to the highly infectious disease. Thereupon, the other 11 participants of the conference - Including Uribe's vehement foe Hugo Chavez - provides information about the disease so that they can adjust to a possible infection. Reactions of the leaders are not yet known.

This is the president of the second Latin American head of state, according to Oscar Arias, who was diagnosed with swine flu and the 622nd Infected in Colombia.

CONCLUSION

The swine flu is not a really dangerous disease, given the worldwide HIPEs I have but to decide once again posting a message on this - particularly suffer because I myself for 3 days in the disease.

Sunday, August 30, 2009

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Superwahltag

Heute war ein sogenannter Superwahltag in Deutschland, denn heute wurden die Kommunalwahlen in Nordrhein-Westfalen und die Landtagswahlen in den Bundesländern Thüringen, Sachen und Saarland abgehalten.

Um es zusammenfassend zu sagen: Die CDU schnitt bei den Landtagswahlen erstaunlich schwach ab, während die kleinen Parteien profitieren können. In Thüringen verlor die CDU so zwölf Prozent und fiel auf 31 Prozent, während SPD (+ 4,1 % => 18,6 Prozent) und ganz besonders die FDP (+4 % => 7,6 Prozent), die nun endlich wieder in den Landtag einziehen kann, profitierten. Ungebrochen stark ist die Linkspartei, die mit ungefähr 26,5 Prozent die zweitstärkste Kraft im Landtag bilden. Die NPD (4,6 %) scheiterte im Gegensatz zu den Grünen (5,9 Prozent), die nun genauso wie die FDP endlich wieder in den Landtag einziehen, an der Fünf-Prozent-Hürde. Damit stehen die Erwartungen auf eine Rot-Rot-Grüne Koalition, nachdem Schwarz/Geld und Jamaika zu schwach wären um die Regierung zu stellen.

In Sachsen hat sich vergleichsweise wenig an der Stimmverteilung geändert:

So ist die CDU nur geringfügig abgestürzt und wird wohl über der 40-Prozent-Marke bleiben. SPD und FDP werden vermutlich beide knapp über der 10 Prozent-Marke liegen, wobei zwar beide Parteien mehr Stimmen erhielten, die FDP aber weit stärker wuchs. Die NPD bleibt mit 5,4 Prozent Although represented in Parliament, but is much weaker than in the previous election and the Left Party remains, despite minor loss of voice, the second largest party in Parliament. Nevertheless, in Saxony, probably a black-yellow coalition possible.

This seems unlikely in the Saarland, for here it will probably come to a Red-Red-Green coalition - in this case, however, the SPD does not set the junior partner, for a 24.5% and 13 seats, the SPD is stronger than the Left Party with 21.3% (+19%) and 11 seats. The CDU is at -13 percent (34.5 percent) still crashes far stronger than in Thuringia, while the FDP as well could benefit (+4% => 9.2 percent). With the 5.9 percent from the camp of the open, the red-red coalition would come to 51.7 percent or 27 of the 51 seats (52.9%).

CONCLUSION

Today's elections showed that the Left Party is a serious political force and the CDU policy less and less support in the country enjoys. The FDP could benefit extremely strong, which shows that the people for more freedom and self-determination desires. I hope that all parties winning countries as well get through the next legislative period.

Saturday, August 29, 2009

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fighting in Myanmar and Berlusconi censorship

60 years ago today the Soviet Union's scheme for the first time das erfolgreiche Zünden einer Atombombe, womit ein nukleares Wettrüsten begann das die Welt bedrohte und noch heute als tausende Bomben bedrohen. Doch darum soll es hier heute nicht gehen:

In der Grenzregion zwischen Myanmar (Birma) und der Volksrepublik China toben momentan Kämpfe in deren Verlauf bislang mindestens ein Chinese gestorben ist, als zufällig eine Bombe über die Grenze geschleudert wurde. Grund für die Gefechte: Die Militärjunta hatte ein altes Waffenstillstandsabkommen mit den Rebellen aus der Region Kokang gebrochen um so eine Entwaffnung der Rebellen zu erreichen und somit die ersten freien Wahlen seit 20 Jahren im Jahr 2010 zu sichern. 

Momentan ist die Situation für die Bewohner Kokangs more than critical: There is a lack of fresh drinking water and food, and both just before the attacks - and now - the Chinese and Burmese fleeing from Myanmar to China, especially in the border town Nansan.

goes Meanwhile, Berlusconi in Italy before directly against press freedom, which he wants to achieve that no slander verbretiet be about him anymore. Previously, the newspapers had raised speculation that Berlusconi had improper relationships with minors.

Another of his motives could also be revenge: How did the publishing house "espresso" Berlusconi previously sued for libel, because the people had recommended that the magazines are no longer publishing this to read.

CONCLUSION

Berlusconi should take the earliest opportunity the hat, allowing the transfer of power to a democratic candidate. In Burma, I think the events not exactly encouraging, but most of the background, namely, that it will protect the elections next year, but one can justify the actions.

Wednesday, August 26, 2009

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Europe remains dependent on Russia

Europe is still dependent on gas supplies from Russia, this country is essential for the heat homes and water at the moment - and that 40 percent of them originate from Russia, Europe remains in the dependency. Last, this became clear when Europe had to suffer because of the Russian-Ukrainian gas dispute at a gas shortage.

But according to a study by the Oxford Business Group should increase to be able to Algeria's exports to Europe and the continent as to free from the dependence of the giant country. According to the study would be Algeria to increase dramatically in the position, the delivery, set for example at the two largest gas fields Hassi R'Mel and Hassi Messaoud by up to 23 percent, and so enough gas available to you at the Russian Part to replace in case of emergency - are currently 12 percent of European gas from Algeria.

Unfortunately, those dreams fail at the Realität: Die Fördermenge sei nicht so drastisch zu erhöhen und wenn, dann würde dies durch den jährlich um 8 Prozent steigenden Bedarf Algeriens an dem eigenem Gas nicht zwangsläufig zu weit höheren Exportmengen führen.

Zudem sind erst zwei Gaspipelines zwischen Algerien und Europa (nach Italien und Spanien) in Betrieb, bevor die anderen Beiden fertiggestellt werden, steht gar nicht die Infrastruktur für den Transport zur Verfügung. Dies bedeutet, dass Europa sich wohl nicht so einfach aus dem Würgegriff Russlands befreien können wird.


FAZIT

Ich denke, dass es für Europa wichtig ist sich as soon as possible alternatives to Russian gas supplies to look, for a democratic Europe must not be dependent on Russia and blackmail can be. However, it can also be an interim solution be to look for other supplier countries - I think sooner or later will not get around Germany and other European countries about to switch to renewable energy sources.

Tuesday, August 25, 2009

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alarmingly high budget deficit due

After the 3 levels of government in Germany (federal, state, local) could generate in the first half of 2008 still a surplus of 7 billion euros, it looks like this year is much less well: 17.3 billion Euro is the state in the first half of the Meanies. This means that Germany has reached the half set by the European Union deficit limit of 3 percent of the state budget each year.

The difference between 24.3 billion euros since last year were a part, by lower tax revenues, on the other hand, explained by increased government spending.

fell And though the tax revenue by as much as 3.8 percent, the corporate income tax (-46%) and income tax (-6.7 percent) compared to outweigh the increased social security revenues (+3.4 percent).

in the same breath, expenditure increased by 3.5 percent, which is probably the economic crisis und den damit verbundenen höheren Sozialleistungen, sowie dem erhöhtem Kindergeld (+Kinderbonus) zuzuschreiben ist. Mit hierein spielt auch die Honorarreform bei den Ärzten. Große Ausgabensteigerungen fanden auch bei den Subventionen statt, wo die Ausgaben um 11,2 Prozent stiegen.

FAZIT

Ich halte den deutschen Staat für nahezu bankrott - es sieht zwar nicht so schlimm aus wie in den USA oder in Italien, dennoch benötigen wir schon jetzt einen gigantischen Teil unseres Staatshaushaltes nur um die Zinsen zu bedienen - und dieser Teil ist weit größer als das momentane Staatsdefizit.

Monday, August 24, 2009

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U.S. dollar before falling

Der US-Dollar gilt as a world currency, it will be oil, gold and other commodity prices traded and many countries (eg Canada) have a pegged to the U.S. dollar currency.

doing so, the U.S. dollar is a unique importance in the global payments business - but that can and probably will change, especially when the international financial crisis first over.

This is fact that ensures the crisis that the fears put forward a more progressive recession, foreign exchange back in the U.S. - and thus stabilize the dollar. If the crisis is over but first, then the capital find its way back to foreign countries - and possibly a ungeahte inflation . Trigger

is further reinforced this assumption by the fact that many countries are losing confidence in the dollar: states the great Forex investors consider whether it is conducted in dollars but not to invest in the euro and to do so.

As currently exist but huge dollar reserves and the crisis is still relevant, will make the descent of the U.S. dollar on the world currency to one of several insidiously.

CONCLUSION

As a small country I would invest my resources in a stable currency like the yen, as a large I would try my own currency hegemony to help. Either way, I would not trust the dollar more in terms of its stability.

Sunday, August 23, 2009

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The new leadership of the Taliban

After the previous leader of the Taliban, Baitullah Mehsud, who came by American missile attack killed forms, is now slowly the new leadership of the terrorist organization.

The young Hakimullah Mehsud, who is blamed, among other things for the terrorist attack on a hotel in Pakistan's Peshawar and the bombardment of the cricket team Sri Lanka in March 2009, that elected unanimously at a meeting of the Taliban Council as the new leader.

It is now widely expected that continue the new leader of the course of his predecessor for the unification of the various Taliban-bearing. After the fall of the Taliban regime in Afghanistan shortly after the attacks on 11 September 2001, there were also within the organization, namely major domestic problems.

CONCLUSION

, so no major changes are expected and that the Taliban now are back on track to regain power in Afghanistan (which translates into a turnout of less than 50%), should the Allies quickly its strategy for securing peace in the country change.

Friday, August 21, 2009

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excessive celebration I had the last few days - and today - no time to compose a message. That will change tomorrow. It was only briefly mentioned the fact that Afghanistan has now selected and close the low turnout (less than 50%) to have a strong Taliban. The controversial issue is also who will emerge as the winner of the election.

Well then: A cheerful start to the weekend.

Tuesday, August 18, 2009

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China calls emissions targets

If the Kyoto Protocol as the current global climate agreement in 2012, loses its validity, then, a successor plan will be decided in Kopenhagen.

has now for the first time the People's Republic of China to concrete Known figures and is willing to lay down its own climate goals in the minutes of Koppenhagen to mitigate the predicted climate change due to greenhouse gases by experts.

The stated objectives but do not provide the reduction of CO ² emissions by the superpower, but only a braking of the CO ² emissions from 2020. Already an approach would, however, according to expert opinions already huge investment by the government in clean technologies are essential. From 2030, the emission of greenhouse gases will be reduced until in 2050 he will be on the 2005 levels.

fallen Those new goals now, the United States of America under pressure, as the last have been remaining high CO ²-producer no commitments for the period after 2012.

CONCLUSION

I that this plan is a good compromise between the interests of China think of its further economic growth and global interest is to throttle because the CO ² emissions, provided the market is also held in fact.

Monday, August 17, 2009

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but if I said the economy itself ...

Culture Minister Bernd Neumann, the Germany radio betrayed culture, what he thinks of the idea of \u200b\u200ba culture flat rate :
"But if I said the economy itself, which is not an optimal model can not say, I take it all the same I want to. do as a politician, which helps the economy, and since I do not want to be smarter, but if I am told by the experts so far that was not the right way, I can not just say that we import. "
the full interview, which explains in amazing openness is that cultural policy should NOT do this to represent more than the daily interests of the recycling industry, can be read here .

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election in Afghanistan

Afghanistan on Thursday, 20 , 2009, the second time in its recent history, the President choose the Islamist presidential - the last election took place on 18 September 2005. From this starting Hamid Karzai Winner.

The election campaign during the presidential election ended today, so 3 days before the election, giving the 17 million voters the opportunity to reconsider her choice once again.

problem is that most Afghans can not read or write. For this reason, each of the 36 other presidential candidates, a logo which is represented on the ballot. Karzai, who is the favorite for the choice, as the logo on the scale.

But not only prepares the electoral problems of illiteracy: The Taliban has called for a boycott and radical Islamists to take the election as an opportunity for many new terrorist attacks in and around Kabul. To protect the election as well, but are 100,000 foreign soldiers, and large contingents of the Afghan National Army to provide the security situation will remain stable.

The choice, however, also used by other States for a possible withdrawal from the crisis-stricken country justified. Among other things, calling for this leading armed forces members.

Even if its really going to Afghanistan, I would like to say that North Korea has opened yesterday in spite of the threats in order to Thanksgiving the border into South Korea.

CONCLUSION

Let us hope that the Democratic election in Afghanistan expires and the security situation in the country continued to improve, so that the foreign armies, as expected from the UK, have to stay another 40 years stationed in Afghanistan. Pakistan should intensify in this context its offensives against the Taliban in order to secure permanent peace.

Sunday, August 16, 2009

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U.S. nuclear war against North Korea are preparing ....

at least according to the despotic ruler of the East Asian North Korea, Kim Jong-il, is. This evaluates namely the annual maneuvers of the United States and South Korea in preparation for a war against the North. In the case of an American or South Korean threat to use nuclear weapons against North Korea, would the State will Atomschlag gegen Südkorea wagen. Dabei brachte der Diktator auch seine Entschlossenheit zum Ausdruck die beiden Länder im Falle von weiteren Aggressionen auszulöschen.

Das Manöver, an dem 10.000 amerikanische und eine unbekannte Zahl (süd)koreanischer Soldaten beteiligt sein werden, beginnt Morgen mit Computersimulationen und Tests der Kommunikationssysteme und läuft bis zum 27. August. Dieses "Ulchi Freedom Guardian" getaufte Manöver dient laut amerikanischen Angaben nur der Verteidigung.

Der Süden nahm diese Drohungen zum Anlass dem auf der Chuch'e-Ideologie beruhendem Norden erneut ein Verhandlungsangebot in allen politischen Themen zukommen zu lassen. Insbesondere bot der Süden dem Norden eine Joint Understanding on.

CONCLUSION

The threat of North Korea can not be taken seriously, as the country already threatened by numerous ind past he has robbed of credibility. Even if North Korea can not disarm, as this would weaken the country, they should still accept the offer of the South and in other areas show a willingness to negotiate.

Friday, August 14, 2009

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Taiwan complains many typhoons

After the Republic of China (Taiwan) and the People's Republic of China (mainland) last Monday were struck by Typhoon Morakot is now the extent of damage in Taiwan apparently.

The mudslides were triggered by the typhoon and several villages in Taiwan were buried or cut off from the outside world have called in this way officially 117 deaths, the salvage work, however, are far from complete, and President Ma Ying-jeou is already speaking of "more than 500 dead. "

The real death toll could even be considerably higher, should be so alone died in the village Hsiaolin 300 people. In order to minimize

the number of deaths are already 38 000 military personnel were assigned to rescue survivors, with many criticizing the slow action of the President.

CONCLUSION

The whole thing is pretty much a disaster for the poor and mountainous south of the country, quite apart from the human disaster. I also think that the reaction of the President will have political consequences.

Thursday, August 13, 2009

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Malaysia first before censorship

Once adopted months ago, a law which forbids criticism of Malaysia's government on the Internet and through which many bloggers have found themselves in custody, the government of the Southeast Asian sultanate of trying a new law to bring into force that the Internet, as in China, would filter - despite an existing promise to foreign investors not to censor the Internet.

was officially founded this bill by the Information Minister Rais Yatim, for example, with child pornography - but the law would probably affect critical of the government or how many blogs and the portal Malaysiakini.

The most likely reason that Malaysia, along with the other media that are in the hands of the state or controlled by him (newspaper, radio, TV) will also control the Internet in order to suppress opposition views. Thus, in the state-controlled media, many issues not even mentioned, while the internet freely discussed above.

But now the government had to den Gesetzesvorschlag nach heftigen Protesten ablehnen. Das Land bleibt vorerst also frei vorm "Grünem Damm".

Steven Gan, Chefredakteur der Malaysiakini, hegt aber die starke Vermutung das die Regierung es nicht dabei belassen wird, sondern nach zahlreichen Repressionen in der Vergangenheit auch in der Zukunft ihre Kontrolle über das World Wide Web ausweiten wird.

FAZIT

Wie auch in Deutschland wird der Versuch das Internet zu zensieren mit Kinderpornos begründet. Ich denke das die Völker überall auf der Erde wachsam sein müssen wenn sie die Freiheit des Internets und damit der Gedanken nicht verlieren wollen. Ich hoffe das es dem Volk von Malaysia bald gelingt die Politik der Unterdrückung durch die Regierung zu beenden.

Wednesday, August 12, 2009

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riots preserved in Honduras

Ein einziger Schuss eines Verkehrspolizisten verwandelte die friedlichen Demonstrationen in der Hauptstadt Tegucigalpa und der Wirtschaftsmetropole San Pedro in gewaltsame Krawalle. Die Demonstration die dem Zweck gewidtmet ist den im Exil lebendem Präsidenten José Manuel Zelaya Rosales wieder an die Staatsspitze zu bringen  wurde am Abend durch eine nächtliche Ausgangssperre und massives Polizeiaufgebot vorerst beendet. 

Rosales deutet dies als Zeichen der Angst durch die Militärregierung unter der Führung Roberto Michelettis. Michelletti will das Amt des Präsidenten right up until early presidential election in November to prevent further anti-constitutional actions of Rosales - previously this had to change the constitution so he tried, among others, could be re-elected.

After the military government had rejected the compromise proposal of the President of Costa Rica, Oscar Arias, that Zelaya had until November to return to office, had Zelaya announced its rightful position recalled grow in other ways.

CONCLUSION

It is obvious that Zelaya wanted a quasi-dictatorship in Venezuela has around longer in office to stay and gain more powers, which would obviously violate the Constitution. However, the whole thing would have been legitimized by a referendum, that is, a democratic decision would have been, so Zelaya, of course remains the lawful president of the State of Honduras should be. The military government should seek to achieve a satisfactory compromise and stop a civil war-like atmosphere of the traditional "banana republic" to create.

Monday, August 10, 2009

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swine flu rages on Earth

The much-feared swine flu, but rather whether the possible emergence of dangerous subtypes as a result seiner Eigenschaften gefürchtet ist, breitet sich momentan rasend aus und lässt die Zahl der Todesfälle in den letzten Tagen rasant ansteigen.

Gab es vor 5 Tagen (05.08.2009) noch 311 bestätigte Todesfälle durch die Schweinegrippe, so ist die Zahl in den letzten 5 Tagen auf 1673 (+ 438 %) gestiegen. Laut der Weltgesundheitsorganisation (WHO) gibt es demnach nun weltweit 206.987 Menschen die mit dem H1N1-Virus infiziert wurden. Am 5. August waren es noch 193.574, sodass es alleine in diesem kurzem Zeitraum 13413 Neuinfektionen (6,48 % aller Infektionen) gab.

Auch an der europäischen Union geht die Schweinegrippe nicht einfach vorbei, so ist Spanien das Land welches als Hauptverbreitungsgebiet swine flu is (mainly due to the strong summer tourism), whereby, however, also have to say that Britain is most affected in the UK alone there are twice as many sufferers as in the entire rest of Europe - and the health authority is currently one of 65,000 flu deaths.

is also economically the flu fatal: The gross domestic product of the island nation will probably shrink by as much as 7.5 percent.

addition tear mass vaccination in many countries battered by the financial crisis states an even bigger hole in the state budget.

CONCLUSION

The swine flu is not to be underestimated, with most episodes probably owes more to Massenhisterie (absenteeism from work) and not the flu, which runs in comparison to other forms of influenza is relatively mild. As long as there is no really dangerous subtype develops I think that the H1N1 virus is no real threat.

Sunday, August 9, 2009

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Georgia Russia ready to attack again

Barely over a year at 08 August penetrated before the Georgian military in the breakaway province of South Ossetia by force there and tried to crush the independence movement. This occurred despite a

Appels of the Russian Federation in Georgia, the two Provinces (Abkhazia and South Ossetia), contrary to bring respect, sovereignty and trust, and to legitimize the territorial integrity of Georgia. Since this was not the Russians, attacked troops in Georgia and the Russian army could advance almost to Tbilisi before they withdrew.

This situation also moved to Russia to recognize the two provinces in the final analysis, as independent states.

were now by the Russian Prime Minister Vladimir Putin Calls have a legal basis for a renewed attack on Georgia to create, as renewed aggression by Georgia against the two "states" is not excluded could be.


CONCLUSION

I still think the Georgia and South Ossetia, I can not be independent states, as long as Russia to Kosovo this right still denied because the evidence of which is not the Russia of any State "Equal Rights for All" admits, but his allies (Serbia) gives far more privileges than their opponents (Georgia). In return, of course, would also have Western states move away from the block thinking and carry out an existence check for the two provinces / states.

Saturday, August 8, 2009

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Afghanistan war in 2050?

While Iraq currently more stable analyzed and the United States wants to have fully implemented the 2011 withdrawal from the country, Afghanistan will probably continue some time longer have to take the military presence of the Allied occupying forces claim - at least if one can trust the statements of the British military.

the 9000-strong contingent of the British Army is the statement of the commander, David Richards, according nämlichauch continue efforts with the other occupying powers to fight terrorism and build up the central government and state institutions of Afghanistan again.

would later change the role of the military is - the final withdrawal, however, would probably only take place in 30 to 40 years, because it would take as long as the country secure and to build.

Meanwhile, complained to the United Kingdom over 195 fallen soldiers in Afghanistan now, after 3 more recently an attack in the country fell victim to helmet.

CONCLUSION

If it really takes a while, then at the end of the occupation of Afghanistan has almost 100 years constantly been at war or in the cast, which I for the local people very sorry.

This one does not want to pull off before I see but rather as a strategic rather than banter need: With Afghanistan, namely one has a country that is strategically located in Central Asia and in the event of an escalation could serve as a starting point for an offensive against Western China (Xinjiang and Tibet support?).

Monday, August 3, 2009

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Sunday, August 2, 2009

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opportunity for Kurdistan?

also at the urging of President Barack Obama and his Defense Secretary Robert Gates traveled to the Iraqi Prime Minister Al Maliki today in the autonomous Kurdish region in the north of the country. Background of this insistence is that the United States America after a U.S. withdrawal from Iraqi cities and the planned complete withdrawal from Iraq in 2011 will ensure lasting peace in the country.

But not only the central government is unusually cooperative in the negotiations - the Kurdish representatives are willing to compromise because both sides are interested in a quick solution for example to adopt an oil law, which governs the distribution of oil revenue, because only Iraq may increase its revenue significantly - it is not clear, however, nor the distribution of income.

Another contentious issue in the negotiations is the question of the area about the size of the future autonomous Kurdistan region will decide, because under Saddam Hussein in many historically Kurdish regions, other Arabs and Turkmens settled the rule do not Kurdish - as well as in the potential capital of Kirkuk.

The recent elections in Kurdistan in the emerged new opposition calls for the clarification of this question before the area can be made attractive to non-Kurds would have to prevent the oppression itself was developing. The issue of Kirkuk would thus priority.

CONCLUSION

Now the Kurdish autonomous region and could finally get in some years (or decades) s may have their own state - and after them the Turks have already promised 100 years ago but never met. I hope that the agreements regulate the internal political stability of Iraq after the withdrawal of troops.

Saturday, August 1, 2009

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Venezuelan radio station fall victim to censorship

Venezuela sees itself as the international media negatively depicted the country and Chavez would not accept these insults and discrediting against him and his country longer. For this reason, said his information minister Blanca Eekhout it was absolutely necessary to the "enormous power" to regulate the private media.

In response to these demands today announced the 34 radio stations lose their license - the official The reason given is invalid extensions or dead licensees, so that the station had no official permission to send more.

These 34 national stations are to the will of the leaders Comunitarias by so-called radio stations, radio stations are replaced with an extremely short range. Also, 240 more radio stations could audit by the current government to fall victim.

Just a day before was there a legislative proposal, which, according to the media laws were tightened. Then it would be possible to punish journalists and publishers with detention if they meet the "public panic" or "peace, security and independence of the nation" . Gefähden

CONCLUSION

Well until now you could still discuss controversial, since the nationalization of the oil profits and the farms were at least benefit the people, but this action is an invasive incision in the press freedom and raises Venezuela in the development of human rights far.